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Inflation increase casts doubt on interest cut bets

A closely seen, Private sector measure of inflation spiked in June, Indicating a positive official reading for the quarter and reducing the possibilities of further interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank.

The victoria Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.6 % last month, after fall of 0.2 % in May.

The strong increase in June was driven by a 7.6 percent surge in petrol prices, one 7.4 per cent jump in the cost of holiday travel and hotel, even a 6.4 per cent rise in fruit and vegetable prices.

these were only partially offset by a 1.1 per cent decrease in clothing and footwear prices and a 0.5 per cent easing in expense of insurance and financial services.

Last month's strong reading indicated it was unlikely there will be repeat of the March quarter's negative Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) reaction, When official figures for the June quarter are released at the end of this month.

The Melbourne Institute's senior research fellow Sam Tsiaplias said he is confident CPI for the June quarter would be positive.

"We may well not see another negative value in quarterly inflation, And I suspect that while we might see a big positive value, It has a resemblance to beautiful spanish women it will be a positive number, So I guess it means we won't see two periods of negative air compressor, he said.

'Might mitigate the need for any future rate cuts'Dr Tsiaplias said that would curb the possibilities of another official interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank.

"Inflation is just just a thing that they look at but, In so far as it probably won't be negative, along with a more normal inflation value like I think we'll see this quarter, That might mitigate the necessity for any future cuts, He supplemental.

The trimmed mean way of measuring the gauge, Which does not beautiful spanish women include any items reckoned to be volatile, such like petrol, increased by 0.2 % in June, After dropping 0.2 per cent in May.

Dr Tsiaplias said advised that you take that figure into account.

"It is often preferable to look at smoothed measures of inflation, such as trimmed mean, He quarreled.

"Both trimmed mean air compressor and the blowing up gauge excluding volatile items rose this month, whilst they are still below their long term averages.

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